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Connection between Risk and Variation
Module 5: Connection between Risk and Variation
In a control chart, risk looks at the decision-making process where all potential outcomes or their likelihood to occur are known to the one making the decision. It can also be expressed as an exposure to known dangers (De Meyer, Loch, & Pich, 2002). Risk refers to the likelihood that a given outcome or situation might differ from what is expected in terms of returns or outcomes. Therefore, risk could include the risk of loss of a part or all of the expected outcomes. There is a notable relationship between risk, uncertainty, and variation. Variability is the inherent diversity or heterogeneity of information/data in an assessment (Chenarani & Druzhinin, 2017). Variation, therefore, represents a quantitative description of the spread or range given values. Uncertainty, on the other hand, is the lack of data or the incomplete understanding of a risk context in an assessment decision (De Meyer, Loch, & Pich, 2002). Uncertainty may take a qualitative or quantitative form. These two, uncertainty and variation, are forms of risk because they represent potential outcomes based on known or unknown information that inform the decision making process.
A control chart is a useful tool in managing projects. It shows and assesses how processes change over time. The plotting of data in control charts follows a time order with central lines for averages, upper lines for upper control limits, and lower lines for lower control limits. Control chats help a project to determine whether it is in a controlled statistical condition. In a control chart, project metrics allow the determination of success and assists in the evaluation of project status, foreseeing risks, and assessing team productivity as well as the work quality. For example, metrics such as delivery time in logistics, productivity, cost variance, and return on investment can be measured in a control chart.
References
Chenarani, A., & Druzhinin, E. A. (2017). A quantitative measure for evaluating project uncertainty under variation and risk effects. Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, 7(5), 2083-2088.
De Meyer, A. C. L., Loch, C. H., & Pich, M. T. (2002). Managing project uncertainty: from variation to chaos. MIT Sloan Management Review, 43(2), 60.
Module 6: Client/Customer Expectations
The three major considerations for a given project include quality, money, and time. They form a critical part of the expectations that a manager has on a project. For example, a manager expects that he/she will manage a project to be complete in time and to meet the quality demands of the project. Expectations are important because they create clear and concise goals for a project, thus increasing the likelihood for better productivity and outcomes (Nicolae, Tănăsescu, & Popa, 2013). Expectations are important in order to perceive a project as a success. It is an important way to measure attainment of goals.
Some customer expectations in a project include solid information, flexibility, options, engagement, trust, fairness, and complaint management. These expectations also include the three considerations inclusive of money, time, and quality. The role of customer expectations in a project is to define objectives and success measures, clear any confusion regarding due tasks and expected time of execution, helps to focus priorities, reduces time wastage, increases productivity, and enables tam engagement. Customer expectations change as the project progresses. The conditions for change include communication, new expectations, new knowledge, and the relationship with the project and the management. For example, a project may have clear goals and expectations, yet these may change as a client begins to better understand the project through new knowledge, communication, or previous experiences.
To manage customer expectations in a project, Nicolae, Tănăsescu, & Popa (2013) advice that it is important that the scope of services is defined, realistic goals and objectives set, a detailed plan created, agreeing on a budget before commencement, explain setbacks and risks, and communicate regularly to keep the client engaged.
References
Nicolae, L. I., Tănăsescu, D., & Popa, V. (2013). Customer Expectations Management. Valahian Journal of Economic Studies, 4(3).
Module 7: Nothing is WrongThe experiences of the customer in a project do not begin or end with a single engagement or sale. There are other component encounters that occur in other areas such as communication, flexibility, complaint management, delivery, value for money, support, and other services that are not outright defined in the plan or goals. A situation where a project is completed and delivered on time, within the budget, and scope yet the customer fails to return is common. The problem is that some of the finer components of the projects including communication, flexibility, complaint management, delivery, value for money, and support may not be delivered to the satisfaction of the customer. It is likely that the customer may have had expectations greater than what was delivered in terms of other metrics such as quality, information, flexibility, options, engagement, trust, fairness, and complaint management.
The correct analysis I would conduct following a loss of a customer would include an assessment of their needs and expectations versus feedback on what was delivered. An important step is receiving feedback in order to understand their decision making process in relation to why a project perceived as successful led to loss of business. Feedback would be the only way to understand why the customer decided to leave. Their experiences during a project, including what they hoped and expected to get, must be used as a yardstick to determine future course of action (Mazur, 1997). Working on improving services and customer experiences using feedback is a vital quality improvement procedure. A nothing wrong approach is not necessarily enough to retain a customer. Quality function deployment would be applied through feedback attained to specifically target the satisfaction of customers for future projects.
References
Mazur, G. H. (1997). Close encounters of the QFD kind. In sixth annual service quality conference (Vol. 20).
Module 8: Prioritizing Customer Needs
In my projects, however much I try to meet all of my customer needs, I cannot fully match their expectations and needs and therefore, I have to make a selection. The needs are not all equal and I have to constantly perform a balancing act. For example, the budget is usually the main determinant of what will be included in a project scope. A customer who lacks the right budget to meet a specified quality level will have to compromise on certain deliverables such as time and quality. Similarly, one with a sufficient budget can demand other deliverables and even choose to remain flexible to make changes whenever possible. I found that balancing the needs of the customer and a project is important to avoid displeasing clients and causing losses.
I prioritize customer needs based on the three main components of time, money, and quality. I first allow the customer to set out what they expect from a project and to what extent they want to be involved. Then, I explain the constraints and limits that are associated to the budget, time, and quality. I then create categories for the different types of request versus the risks and expected outcomes. Thereafter, I allow the customer to choose from the categories created in order to be actively involved in the prioritization of needs to improve on satisfaction. In my organization, the subjective ranking approach is used here the stakeholders assign priorities value from a scale. To avoid conflicting priorities, a risk assessment and possible outcomes are then created. The analytic hierarchy process would be useful in selecting and prioritizing projects in a given portfolio (Vargas & IPMA-B, 2010). The process gives a clear, objective, and a mathematical criterion that reduces risks and uncertainty.
References
Vargas, R. V., & IPMA-B, P. M. P. (2010, October). Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to select and prioritize projects in a portfolio. In PMI global congress (Vol. 32, No. 3, pp. 1-22).
Deaf culture
Deaf culture
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Keith Nolan is a deaf trainer who has a passion of joining military. He grew up with this burning passion and has followed on military history since he was young. He even recalls his grandparents fought the World War 2 and he wants to follow them, however it is not possible since he is deaf. After he graduates high school, he goes to the navel recruiting center hoping to become a military. He is disqualified for bad hearing, however he does not give up until one of his friends who travel to Israel tells him, and there is hope for his dreams. In this video, Keith’s core values represent his highest priorities and his deeply held beliefs as well as the fundamental forces that are driving his actions. Keith has a belief in joining and working as a military. Being a Military is his first choice/priority and he works really hard to see if he could get a chance in military. When he can’t get the chance to be in military, he feels oppressed and this makes him wonder if he is in the right path. So, he chooses another course to become a deaf teacher.
Keith evaluates and liberates himself from the oppression he is facing historically from the hearing society. He applies for a chance and for the first time he gets a positive answer to his desire. He proceeds and gives his best and gets promoted to a cadet. Majority of Deaf individuals faces Audism which means they are discriminated due to their inability to hear. Deaf people previously were not considered capable of conceptual thinking, since they did not have speech and grammar to express thoughts. In this case 80% of military work is non combat meaning Keith can fit in these positions. There are many jobs that the deaf community can do. In military, he can do intelligence job, finance, mechanic and medicine. Being deaf does not mean one cannot work since he does not have grammar to expression. There is a language ASL that helps people understand the deaf and also the deaf to understand the people. Those with disabilities and have not been given the chance to do what they desire in life due to their disabilities. This is oppressing their core values and shuttering their dreams. A person with strong desires like those of Keith to being devoted to work is what many organizations need in order to prosper. Most organizations do not outlook on what a disabled person can do. Instead they see him as an abnormal person who is not suit for working there. Organizations should look on the performance and dedication to work in order to promote or employ
Reference
http://youtu.be/gtKTcPq7XBs
J, C., & H, P. (2005). Conflict resolution program for the culturally deaf. Proceedings of the
1995 conflict resolution symposium at Carlton University. (3nd ed.). Ottawa: ON: Carlton University Press.
Congressman Jim Banks
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Congressman Jim Banks
Jim Banks is U.S.A congressman born in Columbia and raised in the same city and until today, he and his family reside in the city of Columbia. Banks grew up in trailer park where his mother worked as a cook in nursing home and father an auto plant worker. Bank’s family form descendants of Kentucky; deer hunters, Christians and who always voted for the democrats. Banks was an academic performer where in 1997, he attended Indiana University to study political science and this made him be the first member of his family to go to college. After completing undergraduate education, Banks enrolled for master’s in Business administration from Grace College. After completing his education, Banks worked in real estate, construction and commercial Industry in Fort Wayne after which he served in Indiana State Senate from 2010 to 2016 where he chaired military committee and other Senate Veteran affairs. Congressman Banks also served in U.S Navy as a supply corps officer.
2.Congressman Banks political career began after taking job in commercial construction where his career in GOP politics rose immensely. In 2008, Banks was elected to the county council and thereafter, there was an open seat in the senate following the retirement of the occupant. The seat occupant was Bank’s boyhood dermatologist and this was the motivation factor for Jim’s entry into politics. This saw Congressman Jim Banks win the race in 2010. As a state senator, he took part in final stages of Mitch Daniels governorship. Banks became a revolutionary leader where he pushed for repeal death tax in the state and also joining the movement to adopt right to work law. Banks is a career politician because by having studied political science in Indiana University and enrolled for masters in business administration, Jim is set to draw his living through the political arena.
3. Congressman Jim Banks representing Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District on January 3, 2017. This district is located in northeastern part of the Indiana state. The counties that form the district are Kosciusko, Blackford, whitely, wells Steuben, noble, LaGrange, Huntington, DeKalb, Allen and Adams. This district has an area of 8,391 square Km, a population of 675,457 people and distribution of 65.14% and 34.86% rural. This district has a higher distribution of urban population than the rural population. Owing to the fact that the district is more of urban, social amenities are an important aspect in the district. These include housing, waste management and public utilities.
4. Jim Banks is a member of House committee on science, space and technology. He is a vice chair in the environment subcommittee, research and technology subcommittee member, subcommittee on space member. In the house committee on armed services, Jim is a member in the subcommittee of investigations and oversight. He is also a member of the tactical air and land forces and finally, on the house committee on veteran’s affair, he is member of the disability assistance and memorial affairs subcommittee and also the economic opportunity subcommittee. His assignments include enacting legislation, sponsoring bills and voting when passing bills.
5.During the 2016 campaigns, Jim Banks managed to raise $319,463 whereby he spent $194,849 with the main contributors being BAE systems ($6,000), Ultra electronics (%10,000), American leaders($10,000), Harris corp, MacAndrews and Forbes. The sources of these funds included small individual contributions ($33,134), large individual contributions ($125,680), and PAC contributions ($162,910). It is very interesting to learn that Jim Banks never contributed funds for his campaign.
6. Jim Bank won the U.S House of Representatives 3rd district against Tommy Schrader and Pepper Snyder. Jim vied on Republican Party while Schrader and Snyder vied with democrat and libertarian parties respectively. Jim won with landslide votes with a percentage of 70.1 against Schrader’s 23.0% and Snyder’s 6.9%.
county Banks Schrader
Allen 93,673 40,154
Kosciusko 15,729 3,460
Noble 12,288 3,137
DeKalb 12,104 3,080
Huntington 11,913 2,538
Whitely 11,970 2,401
Steuben 10,591 2,830
Wells 10,108 2,157
Adams 9,912 2,263
Lagrange 7,022 1,865
Jay 5,407 1,818
Blackford 679 320
Source: New York Times, Feb 2017
Based on the results of this election, it is very evident that Jim Banks is a representative firmly entrenched in congress because he scores more than 50% of the total votes cast. While he has 201,396(70.1), Schrader follows with 66,023 (23%). Both Schrader and Snyder votes combined do not make a half of what Banks garnered hence this make him more entrenched in the congress than anybody else.
7. Interest groups mainly rate congress members based on how they vote. Groups involved in this ratting include service employees international union, National Parent-Teachers Association, national Abortion and Reproductive Rights Action League, league of conservation voters, American Conservative Union and Americans for Democratic Action. Americans for Democratic Action is an interest group that is concerned with economic, energy and environmental issues, foreign and military issues, politics and government and social and domestic. The economic, energy and environmental issues include fair trade, minimum wage, and tax reform and invest in America. Foreign and military issues include defence and spending and Syria and Iran. Politics and government includes right to vote, campaign and finance. Lastly on the social and domestic issues, ADA is concerned with good American jobs, marriage equality, health care and education. This interest group rates Indiana 95 out of 100 and on average, Indiana is averagely rated 89 out of 100. According to the group, Indiana is performing well and thus Jim Banks would be considered as an ally by the group
8.Jim uses some criteria to select key votes such as: vote is important and should be used in portraying members’ stand on a particular issue, should be easily understood by any person, vote commands media attention, vote was defeated or passed by across margin, if a bill is inquired pertaining voters research hotline, the vote will be added.
9. Jim banks belongs to the Republican Party where he is serving his first term in the congress. Jim talks about how it’s weird to be republican lawmaker where the party is in charge of executing everything where on the other hand, Trump is the president and one knows not what he will say or do but in any case, it will definitely land on your lap. In this article, Banks is being regarded as a fairly ordinary republican in congress trying to find his way in Washington
10.I admire Jim Bank because he is a performer as it is evident by the rating by America for democratic action. Bank is Quiet and thoughtful who describes himself as an introvert. His humble background is a marvel on how a son born by family of auto part factory operator and cook clings to the congress and also depended entirely of fundraise funds.
Work cited
www.house.govwww.opensecrets.orgwww.google.comwww.govtrack.uswww.congress.orghttp://thomas.loc.gov/http://www.govtrack.us/congress/findyourreps.xpdhttp://www.crewsmostcorrupt.org/
