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Tyneside gravel Analysis
Tyneside gravel Analysis
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Introduction
The family firm, Tyneside Gravel Company, was established in the year 1912. It is run by John hepple as the chairman and managing director. He is assisted by his two sons. The market for their products has increased due to the fact that in the Tyne area, projects concerning building and civil engineering have increased. This has made the firm seek expansion strategies. However, the chairman has been hesitant because he is scared of uncontrolled growth. The other employees including his sons feel that he should be open to expansion opportunities so as to be able to compete with other companies.
What decisions does the firm face with continued growth?
The company has to decide on how to expand the business but not to operate in their sub sites. The challenge in proceeding with this decision is the fact that finding new sand gravel sites in the new areas is hard because they are Scarce.The Company’s director Frank Wardlaw has found two sites at Celadon owned by the local council. However, they are leasing only one site hence the company has to decide which site to take. The first site, Bardon Farm, has sand and it is promising because of the development of Washington new town and also because in South Shields, the number of housing is increasing and therefore the market for sand is high. Cleadon Hill produces gravel and the positive side of this site is that it has a ready market where Tyneside Company can secure a four year contract with motorway contractors. The firm therefore has to decide which site to take.
What are the risks associated with expansion in particular the operational risks. John Hepple might, however, been justified by being against the expansion because of the operational risks that come with it. The one major risk is that the company might end up in debt thereby losing its property due to borrowing so as to finance the expansion. John Hepple, being the main shareholder, is against having new shareholders and hence that option of getting finances is out. The other operational risk is that the company has a lot of competitors whom it should keep in touch with to avoid being left behind. This will not be easy as the firm will be concentrating with expansion. Expansion also comes with a lot of work and everyone is working towards proving that they made the right decision (Sease & John, 1994). This may lead to the employees having a lot of pressure and their morale may be compromised. They may feel overworked and the firm may not be able to motivate them in the short run because all their finances will have been exhausted in the expansion. The firm also faces the risk of making losses if they are not able to attract new customers.
The company however can deal with the risks by ensuring that the money they borrow will be paid within a certain period and still leave them profits. The board of directors has selected a committee that will establish the feasible project so as to expand it. The committee which consists of employees gives them an opportunity to choose what they feel they are capable of achieving and therefore doing away with the risk of losing employees due to pressure. The firm should do enough research to know what their new customers expect. This way they will have new customers and also be ahead of their competitors.
Analyze the cash flow presentation. Identify any potential problems with the identification of the cash inflows and outflows. The company has come up with a cash flow that shows how money will move in and out enabling them to know the rate of return of the project. The cash flow shows movement of cash operations that is the sales; there are also the cash flows from financing. The difference between the cash inflows and outflows gives the net cash flow.
The tyneside firm may have potential problems in identification of cash inflows and cash outflows. This problem arises when purchasing items with cash which is an inflow unlike when purchasing items with borrowed money which is a cash outflow. The firm will be providing goods at credit and this might be a problem when the sale should be recorded as inflow or when it is an outflow. The problems that come with cash flows can be corrected by just understanding the records. The cash inflows and outflows are not the only important things; one should also look at the timing of the flows. The firm should be sure of when their debts after selling goods on credit will be paid. They should also ensure that they are aware if the working capital is sufficient or not and it is advisable to ensure that it is sufficient that way they will know that the projects liquidity is ensured.
The tyneside gravel firm can use the SWOT analysis to evaluate the investment to go for. The analysis will enable the firm to check on the internal factors like the Strengths and Weakness. They will also evaluate the external factors such as the Opportunities and Threats to determine if any that project is worth trying (Jury, 2012). The firm will look on how they will provide better products winning new customers in the new areas. They will be looking at the strengths, potential, and ways they can use to ensure they beat their competitors. The firm’s chairman, John Hepple, talked of having a controlled growth and that way they will be doing away with the weakness that may come with the expansion. They will ensure that the projects give them the required returns after investing reasonable amount in the project. The firm can look at the opportunities available when they invest in either project thereby going for the better evil. The threat includes the taxes and any government regulations.
The main strength of the firm is its financial stability and sound understanding of the market and the industry of operation. In this respect, the firm stands a better chance of growth in the industry and gaining market dominance. On the other hand, the firm maintains sound financial policies that give it an edge in terms of financial stability and accountability. In terms of opportunity, the increase in the demand for financial expansion and services by the public presents a potential growth in the customer base, hence more potential customers and clients. Like other firms in the industry, this firm faces a great threat posed by the rise in the technological integration and advancement which threatens the security of the organization in terms of internet monetary transactions (Chorafas, 2006).
Is there a difference in the financing decision versus the investment decision? The firm has both financing and investment decisions to make. The investment decision is the one that results in the outflow of money while the financing decision results in the inflow of money. The financing decision that the company has made so as to fund their projects is to use what they have internally and borrow money from financial institutions that charge fair interest rates. The investment decisions are how they will use the money they have to make their projects a success. The expenses they will incur when investing should be regained after the sales have been made.
Present an evaluation of the cash flow presented based on your knowledge of project evaluation i.e. payback,NPV or IRR.There are certain measures used in the analysis of cash flows like the net present value of cash flows, internal rate of return, profitability index, and the payback. Tyneside firm has used the net present value to analyze their projected cash flow. The present value is calculated using the discount rate which is an annual rate and the period that it is been examined. The firm’s cash flow have different periods of time and this way, the comparison may be hard since the time period should be the same. The firm can calculate the present value using the same period of time and determine which project will give higher returns.
What are the risks associated with the selection of either investment? There are certain risks that the firm would face if they choose either of the projects. The site, Bardon farm that the firm is depending on is based on the fact that there is growth in the area. The customers, however, might be having their own suppliers and therefore there is the risk of not having new customers due to competition. The firm is also depending on the local council tenders which they might not always win despite lowering their costs because the other firms may use the same tactics (Chorafas, 2006). The other site, Celadon hill, the only sure thing about it is that the first four years will be fruitful. The firm, however, is not sure of the years after that period. There is also the risk o f not keeping up with competitors because they will be busy providing for the motorway contractors. These two projects have the same risk of not knowing how much the land will require during reclamation. It may be more damaged than they had planned and therefore require more money.
How would you advise the management?
The management, having had the cash flow analysis, can be able to tell what project they expect to give higher returns (Jury, 2012). They should, however, not only consider the short term returns but also consider the long term returns. They should put into consideration their employees and choose the project they will be comfortable doing. This way, they will not lose any of them due to the expansion. They should select the projects that have few or controlled threats. The firm’s management should choose the project that enables them to exploit their full potential and be able to use the opportunities available (Jury, 2012).
What issues do you find with forecasting methods? How would you minimize the risk associated with the forecasts? Forecasting methods are used to predict the future; it can be applied by using scenarios. They firm can look at the best scenarios, the worst and also the medium. The committee having written all of the scenarios done will be able to make the best decision. The risk in this method is that it is hard to measure best and worst situations, and therefore mistakes can be done. Forecasting can also be done using time where they can use different periods of time. Thoughts and feelings can also be used to provide predictions. The risk with forecasting methods is that they are not accurate because they may be based on opinions and not data. Forecasting methods may use past experiences and this may have nothing to do with the future. These risks can be reduced by using more than one method and that if one fails, there is a backup. The decision should also be made by more than on individual.
What lines of argument would you present if either project is pursued? The Bardon farm site can be chosen because the firm can be able to win new customers by providing the best services at an affordable price. They can offer what other companies cannot offer and ensure availability of their products at all times. The firm has also entered into business with the local council through operating in their site and by offering quality and fairly priced commodities; they can be able to win all the local council tenders (Chorafas, 2006). The Celadon hill is also a good site because they are assured of their returns in the first four years by signing a four year contract with the motorway contract. After the four years, they might also be able to continue working with Mowlem which is a higher possibility. These factors considered the best scenario is when they invest in the Bardon farm site where the customers will keep flowing once they get them. The worst scenario is investing in Celadon and having to close once the four year contract is over. The medium scenario is when the company will be able to continue working with Mowlem.
References
Chorafas, D. N. (2006). Wealth management private banking, investment decisions and structured financial products. Amsterdam: Elsevier/Butterworth-Heinemann.
Jury, T. D. (2012). Cash flow analysis and forecasting the definitive guide to understanding and using published cash flow data. West Sussex [England: John Wiley & Sons.
Sease, Douglas & John A. Prestbo (1994), Baron’s guide to making investment decisions, Prentice Hall.
Two years after the storm
Two years after the storm 50% of the city’s dwellers had not yet returned. The economic failures of Pre Katrina started reflecting themselves in the property markets. The American housing survey indicated that a median owner occupied home in 2004 within New Orleans was about $120,000 while 1700 square feet was the median size for homes that were occupied by owners. This implicated $67 was the price for every square foot; considerably below most reasonable approximations of construction costs for houses that were deemed to be of standard quality. Not to mention houses that had been built to withstand the effects of the hurricane’s flooding and winds (Congleton 7).
The costs of housing below the average market costs is an aspect that is common in most areas that have negative population growth and is accredited to the resilience of houses that were built in more contented economic times. There was an excess supply of houses in New Orleans after the hurricane which resulted in low pricing for the New Orleans housing sector. The impact of the hurricane in New Orleans extended to the Mississippi gulf coast. The Hurricane substantially reduced both the number of companies and the number of employees residing in New Orleans. In 2005 about 9000 workers submitted their wage reports to the state’s unemployment urgency two years later this number had declined to 7000. Proportionately, lesser declines were recorded in the suburban areas that surrounded the city. This reflected the disparities in the nature of losses suffered and the differences in the amount of losses that were covered by insurance companies (Congleton 10).
Policies and Coverage Affected By This StormThe Hurricane storm impacted a number of insurance policies and coverage which include; Business interruption coverage, property policy and costs incurred to prevent losses. Property insurance policies tend to cover the structures and schedules listed in a policy. This means that to determine if a certain building could be insured it is critical to not only check the kind of losses covered by an insurance company but also the schedule of structures. Insurance policies should be evaluated to check if they have provisions for newly acquired property. Under such provisions an insurance company could have coverage for property that is newly acquired as much as such a property may not have been listed on the schedule of structures. Most insurance companies tend to also insure personal property even if it is not listed on a schedule of structures (Erwann 165).
Coverage for Costs that are incurred in the prevention of lossesProperty policies tend to characteristically contain provisions that pay for the precautionary measures that are taken by an insured to prevent losses and also necessitate these provisions. These are the sue and labor provisions that are applied whenever the insured spends money to protect property that is already covered from destruction or damage by a peril that is already covered. The objective of this provision is to encourage the insured to be active in the protection of their property so as to prevent larger expenses to the insurer due to greater losses of properties that are covered (Erwann 167).
Additional Living expensesMost insurance policies for renters and home owners offer coverage for Additional living expenses (ALE). These are any necessary increments’ in living standards incurred by an insured to ensure that their families maintain their normal living standards. This coverage is provisional within the short time necessary to replace or repair the damage. However, if the insured permanently relocates the shortest time that is necessary to ensure that his family is settled elsewhere (Erwann 170).
Type of Conditions and ExclusionOn the 29th of August in 2005 the Gulf of Mexico was wrecked by Hurricane Katrina; tornadoes, high velocity winds, hail, flooding and coastal erosion caused untold human suffering, deaths, economic loss, injuries as well as infrastructure and property damage in Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana. After the occurrence of this magnitude of natural disasters it is inevitable to have fights on the scope of insurance coverage. Those who had insurance attempted to rebuild their homes and lives after turning to home owner’s insurance as a recovery source (Erwann 172).
These home owners were shocked to realize that their policies on the hurricane had certain exclusions on floods or other kinds of water damage. This posted a huge challenge both in Mississippi and New Orleans. Insurance companies were sued for excluding the water coverage in their policies by the US Attorney General and Senator Trent Lott. However, their case did not succeed because in the case of ambiguous contract language Mississippi courts interpret the cases based on prior case laws and approval by the insurance department of court language (Erwann 174).
Mississippi had adopted the effective adjoining cause doctrine in the interpretation of insurance contracts where policy holders were permitted to recover damages if they proved that wind caused them losses related to the Hurricane Katrina. This was despite of excluded causes such as flooding being the major causes of such losses. When these courts were previously confronted with such cases they did not annul the insurance clauses, rather they permitted the insured parties to be compensated for losses they proved were caused by a peril that is covered.
In a consideration of the practical certainty of annulling the exclusions the potential repercussions on the Mississippi homeowners’ insurance market would have been devastating. This would have been particularly so had insurance companies been forced to pay for policies they did not collect premium for or did not have enough money for compensation. Companies would have become insolvent and most of them would have altogether retreated from the market (Erwann 176).
Floods: The Hazard That Contributed To the Problem’s Severity
The hazard that may have contributed to the severity of the policy holders losses was floods. However, even though private insurance companies are afraid of covering water damage home owners in New Orleans and Mississippi should have purchased flood insurance offered by the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). This program which was incepted in 1968 provides flood insurance where private insurers decline and covers both storm surge and floods. When it was formed its intentions were to provide reasonable flood insurance coverage for individuals residing in flood probe areas such as Mississippi. The drafters of this policy felt that the availability of policy was likely to shift large costs incurred during floods from the public since less federal assistance tax payer funded programs would be required after floods if more homeowners relied on insurance (Erwann 165).
The NFIP was also tasked with guiding future construction and building in flood prone areas. For community residents to be eligible to buy flood insurance policies from the NFIP their communities had to be NFIP participants. To be participants communities had to adopt NFIP designed measures to alleviate future hazards from flooding in future development and construction in these communities. These measures include; regulations that regard; building codes, zoning and subdivisions. For instance it is mandated by the NFIP regulations that new construction of any buildings that are extensively damaged in the flood prone areas should have the lowest floor of their homes raised up to a predetermined base level. Consequently it is approximated that buildings constructed in line with these regulations suffer 90% less damages yearly in comparison to those that do not comply. It is projected that this program is likely to save up to $1 billion in expenses annually (Erwann 167).
As soon as a community is registered as NFIP participant flood insurance is availed by for purchase by home owners, business owners and renters within the community. However, there is a one month waiting period before this policy goes into effect. This means that in a year that forecasters expect an out of the ordinary hurricane season home owners can buy flood insurance a month before the hurricane begins. The costs range from $400 to $500 per annum for coverage that is worth $100,000. However, individuals are allowed to purchase up to $250,000 net worth of coverage (Erwann 176).
Health ConcernsThe hurricane destroyed virtually all of New Orleans health care system with more than 1000 doctors displaced and a dozen hospitals annihilated. The entire population in New Orleans lost its access to their daily health care providers. People with chronic cases were the most hit. Over 2000 patients in Orleans Parish were evacuated. Apart from that dialysis centers in Louisiana with cases of over 3000 patients were smashed and only 50% of these patients could be accounted for a month after the storm (Baumrucker and Karen 27).
The destruction of this city’s health system was particularly intense for the uninsured cohort in the low income bracket who heavily depend on a handful of providers particularly Charity hospital which is amongst America’s oldest hospitals that is committed to treating those who are economically disadvantaged. The insured were no different for New Orleans lost access to all its care sources. However, those that had taken private coverage managed to reach out to health care providers in other Cities and were confident of the health care being covered. Contrastingly, the low income insured were stuck (Bovbjerg and Frank 23).
Even though the hurricane generated a myriad of problems for Louisianans many indicators show that they had poor health situation before they were hit by the storm. Louisiana numbered worse for premature death, infant mortality, cancer deaths and the prevalent of smoking. It was amongst the highest rated states for violent crime, cardiovascular deaths, infectious diseases, motor vehicle deaths and occupational fatalities. As soon as the storm hit emergency services and health care tireless worked to get patients out of harm’s way. The destruction meted to health care facilities prompted creative solutions that ranged from the construction of mobile treatment centers to the use of the Louis Armstrong international Airport as both a temporary morgue and a triage center (Baumrucker and Karen 35).
The Louisiana state executed policies to guarantee that the Medicaid program continued to be re-laid to its beneficiaries. Temporary cards were quickly issued to those that had lost theirs in the hurricane. The state additionally waived all prior bureaucratic requirements so that any out of state or in state health provider could provide their services to the beneficiaries. Federal officials began crafting strategies of assisting the economically disadvantaged to access medical care. Waivers were issued through Medicaid to cover Katrina evacuees. Navy hospital ships were also deployed to the New Orleans city seaport. Despite all these emergency deployment’s the community’s full recovery will necessitate more reflection of public needs and developing new strategies to service delivery in the state (Bovbjerg and Frank 35).
Government ResponseThe failure of the government in dealing with national disasters such as the Hurricane Katrina stems from the fact that such disasters are more of political events. These are the words of James Lee Witt FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) director upon testifying before Congress in 1995 about the cause of perpetual disasters and lack of adequate management due to corruption in the agency. While these words could easily have come from an ignorant person on the street it was despicable that they came from the FEMA director. This went down in history as another failure by FEMA to tame disaster and another congress investigation into their management problems (Krueger 8).
The events of 2005 were nothing new identical issues still emerged after nearly all the other major disasters. The only difference in 2005 was the brutality and visibility of this failure as well as the untold human suffering it vented on unsuspecting citizens. In most other disasters the victims of these government errors are usually very diffuse and hard to locate. However, after Katrina, a majority of the victims were crammed together in various places which led to the unearthing of the mismanagement problems in FEMA by the media. Like all people self interested bureaucrats and politicians only respond to the incentives they face. The choice and decisions of public sector agents like FEMA can be comprehended through a cautious evaluation of their incentives (Krueger 12).
SummaryThe coastal storm surge, winds and rain linked to this storm resulted in substantial destruction. Beyond these characteristic impacts, the hurricane incepted a chain reaction that led to a near total abandonment of a key American city. New Orleans which is a city that was largely constructed from land that was reclaimed from a swamp, witnessed enormous failures on the levees systems that were constructed to protect the city from its surrounding waters. Most of the city and the suburbs that surround it were flooded.
The city residents who had not yet heeded to warnings by weather forecasters to flee were also evacuated. Within a week’s time the city’s population of about 400,000 had been reduced to zero. Earlier estimates from private insurers on losses for offshore gas or oil platforms, flooded, damaged or destroyed businesses and homes were estimated at about $42-59 billion. As estimates started being revised the figure came to $45 billion most of it uninsured. The question that still lingers in many people minds in te wake of such natural disasters is when the government will walk the talk and stop giving excuses while experimenting with peoples lives
Works CitedBaumrucker, Evelyne, and Karen Tritz.. “Hurricane Katrina: Medicaid Issues.” CRS Report for Congress RL33083. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service. (2010): 27-35. Print.
Bovbjerg, Randall R., and Frank C. Ullman. Health Care for the Poor and Uninsured After a Public Hospital’s Closure or Conversion. Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. Assessing the New Federalism Occasional Paper No. 39. (2011):23-35 Print.
Congleton Roger D. “The Story of Katrina: New Orleans and the Political Economy of Catastrophe,” Public Choice, vol. 127, (2009): 5–10. Print.
Erwann O. Michael-Kerjan. Catastrophe Economics: The National Flood Insurance Program Catastrophe Economics: The National Flood insurance Program. Journal of economic perspectives. 24:4, (2010): 165-176.Print.
Krueger Alan, “At FEMA, Disasters and Politics Go Hand in Hand,” New York Times, 15, September, 2005: 8-12. Print.
Two sides of apple cutting edge
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Two sides of apple cutting edge
USA companies employed fellow Americans even if not great profits are to be realized. They showed generosity in employing their workers. China, on the other hand, emphasized on efficiency which lead to great profits. This has made companies like Apple and other many more companies seek for middle level skills in China, where the assembling of their electronic gadgets takes place. Firms once had a duty to support American labors, even when it was never the greatest economic choice. That has vanished. Profits and effectiveness have outplayed generosity.
Even though America is one of the countries with the most learned and educated workers in the world, only but a few workers undergo training in the middle level skills that factories would need. This tells us that labor that would be provided by the few trained workers would be low, forcing companies to seek for the same labor abroad. China has got a lot of labor provided by the middle level skilled workers. This is because a lot of workers in china undergo training in middle level skills. This has led production of more goods, therefore, attracted companies like Apple to assemble their electronics in china in order to realize more profits.
China could provide a lot of engineers at a scale that the United States of America could not match. The executives from Apple estimated that a total of 8,700 industrial engineers would be needed to supervise, guide and oversee about 200,000 workers in the assembly-line involve in the manufacture of the Apple’s iPhones. According to the company’s analyst, it would have taken about as nine months to find the number of the needed engineers in United States. In China, it would only take 15 days to find the same number of engineers.
China could provide workers and industry, which outdid their American equivalents in skills, industriousness and efficiency. This is evident through Faxconn City as viewed by the Apple’s executives. Faxconn City is a facility that has 230,000 employees, most working six days every week, spending twelve hours each day at the plant and more than a quarter of the workers stay in the company barracks, earning approximately 17 Dollars a day. According to Jennifer Rigoni, Apple’s worldwide supply demand manager until 2010; Faxconn City Could hire 3000 people overnight, something that United State could find difficult to find the same amount of workers overnight and persuade them to stay in dormitories.
Finding a technical work force is a big challenge in setting up plant in the United States. To be precise, would say that they need engineers with above high school education but not necessarily a bachelor’s degree. At this skill level, Americans are hard to find. This is the opposite of what happens in China as engineers with more than high school education would be easier to find.
Even though some features of the iPhone are distinctively American – for example – the device software, its innovative campaign, the Apple data center recently built in North Carolina and the vital semiconductors manufactured in Austin, Texas; these facilities are not large sources of jobs because not many workers would be needed in these firms. New companies like Google and Facebook benefit from this since they do not need to hire many workers yet they still grow.
Apple executives have a belief that there are no enough workers in America with the skills the company needs or factories with efficiency and flexibility like that in China and other countries abroad. Other companies working with Apple, for instance Corning, a company that manufactures glass for iPhones says they must go abroad.
Reference
Riley, Nancy E. Gender, Work, and Family in a Chinese Economic Zone: Laboring in Paradise. , 2013. Print.
McGiffert, Carola, and John J. Hamre. Chinese Images of the United States. Washington, D.C: CSIS Press, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2005. Print.
Cohen, William S, Maurice R. Greenberg, and Carola McGiffert. Smart Power in U.s.-China Relations: A Report of the Csis Commission on China. Washington, D.C: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2009. Print.
Jorge, Faustino S. M. Implementing Reforms in Public Sector Accounting. Coimbra [Portugal: Université de Coimbra, 2008. Print.
